Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.474948 0.543962 0.618649 0.705373 0.803194 0.910002 1.035342
2025-04-06 0.371008 0.464698 0.574490 0.712197 0.879811 1.076692 1.324928
2025-04-13 0.283606 0.386440 0.516252 0.691079 0.919168 1.205293 1.589873
2025-04-20 0.235285 0.346509 0.496807 0.712710 1.012453 1.411021 1.977655
2025-04-27 0.199696 0.316213 0.483920 0.739513 1.114959 1.641033 2.427296
2025-05-04 0.166763 0.282966 0.460521 0.746573 1.189386 1.840524 2.859230
2025-05-11 0.139234 0.252343 0.435235 0.745645 1.250195 2.025882 3.291354
2025-05-18 0.117331 0.226408 0.412479 0.744110 1.308186 2.211769 3.743632
2025-05-25 0.100455 0.205733 0.394628 0.747061 1.372344 2.412676 4.239622
2025-06-01 0.087386 0.189381 0.381326 0.755162 1.444976 2.633632 4.789810
2025-06-08 0.074793 0.171380 0.361850 0.748638 1.489961 2.811131 5.283077
2025-06-15 0.066932 0.161455 0.356017 0.766442 1.580553 3.076087 5.952972
2025-06-22 0.057507 0.146452 0.337965 0.758325 1.622375 3.260038 6.501315
2025-06-29 0.051208 0.137232 0.330412 0.770362 1.704898 3.527712 7.230553
2025-07-06 0.043461 0.122908 0.309371 0.750674 1.720581 3.669189 7.734756
2025-07-13 0.039845 0.118111 0.308994 0.776046 1.833073 4.011170 8.660228
2025-07-20 0.036914 0.114484 0.310748 0.806404 1.959713 4.393572 9.700792
2025-07-27 0.033126 0.107688 0.303654 0.814952 2.038954 4.685632 10.583733
2025-08-03 0.029392 0.100190 0.293499 0.814533 2.097525 4.939277 11.409091
2025-08-10 0.026107 0.093260 0.283615 0.813249 2.153674 5.192556 12.255499
2025-08-17 0.023420 0.087551 0.276033 0.816701 2.221379 5.477261 13.194199
2025-08-24 0.021244 0.082979 0.270835 0.825659 2.303526 5.801763 14.248030
2025-08-31 0.018818 0.076953 0.260366 0.818682 2.344569 6.035201 15.116403